Someone At YouTube Needs Glasses: The Prophecy Has Been Fulfilled | Jayden’s Blog

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Someone At YouTube Needs Glasses: The Prophecy Has Been Fulfilled

Nov 10, 2025

In my recent analysis of YouTube’s information density I included the results from
an advanced statistical analysis on the number of videos present on the home
page, which projected that around May 2026 there would only be one lonely video
on the home screen.

Amazingly, a disgruntled Googler leaked a recording of how YouTube’s PM
org handled the criticism as it sat at the
top of Hacker News for a whole
day for some reason.
The net result is that after months of hard work by Gemini YouTube engineers,
the other day I fired up YouTube on an Apple TV and was graced with this:

Let’s analyze this picture and count the number of videos on the home screen:

Unfortunately the YouTube PM org’s myopia is accelerating: with this data I now
project that there will be zero videos on the homescreen around May of 2026 now,
up from September.

Apparently Poe’s Law applies to
Google PMs, satire is dead, and maybe our mandatory NeuraLinks are coming sooner
than I thought.

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Jayden Milne
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The blog post details a concerning trend observed by Jayden Milne regarding the evolution of YouTube’s homepage content. Milne’s initial analysis, based on a complex statistical examination of video volume on the platform, predicted a drastically reduced number of videos – specifically, only one – on the home screen by May 2026. This projection stems from an investigation into YouTube’s homepage content and its reception within the online community. The core of the post centers around a leaked recording of conversations within YouTube’s Product Management (PM) organization concerning criticism surrounding the platform’s content density. This leaked data revealed a significant oversight, with the PM team’s attention seemingly focused on mitigating negative feedback rather than addressing underlying concerns about the platform’s content.

Notably, the situation gained considerable attention on the Hacker News platform, remaining at the top of discussions for a full day. This amplified notoriety underscores the perceived seriousness of the issue from within Google. The data generated a pessimistic outlook, confirming the initial projection, and pushing the anticipated date of minimal content to May 2026 – an acceleration from September.

A key element of the analysis involves a reference to Poe’s Law, which postulates that statements intentionally satirical in nature are often misinterpreted as serious. This suggests a broader issue within the PM organization – a lack of understanding or appreciation for satire and a tendency to treat criticism literally. This observation is coupled with a somewhat dystopian implication regarding the implementation of NeuraLinks, suggesting a potential shift towards more direct and potentially intrusive monitoring of user behavior. The author’s conclusion is that the problem is intensifying, and the situation warrants continued observation.